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«AgroInvest» — News — Hong Kong intervenes to weaken its currency, threatened by capital inflow surge

Hong Kong intervenes to weaken its currency, threatened by capital inflow surge

2012-10-26 15:32:48

Hong Kong limits the amount its currency can gain or fall to help maintain market and export stability. The bank said that it may have to keep intervening to keep its currency cheap.

This is because weak economic conditions in the US and Europe have prompted many investors to look for better-performing assets in markets such as Hong Kong.

“We expect net inflows into the Hong Kong dollar will continue for some time,” the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) said in a statement.

“Since the US Federal Reserve's launch of the third round of quantitative easing, demand for Hong Kong dollars has increased and similar rises are also noted in other currencies within the region,” it said.

The Hong Kong dollar is pegged at HK$7.80 to one US dollar, but can trade between HK$7.75 and HK$7.85. Under the terms of the peg, the HKMA must intervene when the Hong Kong dollar hits either the upper or lower limit.

Hong Kong has maintained its currency's peg to the US dollar for the past 30 years.

While the peg has helped it steer its way through tough times, such as the Asian financial crisis in the late 1990s and the global financial crisis in 2008-09, questions have been raised about its effectiveness in the current global environment.

Critics have argued that by being linked to the US dollar, Hong Kong's monetary policy is heavily influenced by that of the US. They say that given the difference in the economic conditions between the two, this is not in the best interests of Hong Kong.

The US economy has been going through a rough patch. In a bid to boost growth, it has maintained interest rates at between zero and 0.25% since December 2008.

Given its currency peg, Hong Kong has also had to keep its interest rates low, not least because higher rates would be likely to result in a surge in capital inflows to the territory and put pressure on its currency.

Analysts say the peg and the resulting low interest rates have played a role in the recent boom in housing prices in Hong Kong, raising fears of asset bubbles being formed.

 

MercoPress