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«AgroInvest» — News — Japan sees first annual trade deficit in 31 years

Japan sees first annual trade deficit in 31 years

2012-01-25 12:31:45

Japan announced its first annual trade deficit for more than 30 years on Wednesday after the March quake-tsunami and strong yen hit exports in 2011, and high fuel costs pushed up import bills.

The first calendar-year deficit in goods since 1980 came to 2.49 trillion yen ($32 billion), the finance ministry said.

Imports were up 12.0 percent on 2010, it said, particularly crude oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG), while exports fell 2.7 percent, led by automobiles, semiconductors and other components.

After rising from the ashes of World War II Japan established itself as a trading nation, enjoying enormous trade surpluses with its competitive cars, electronics and other exports.

But energy imports to the resource-poor country have soared in the wake of the Fukushima nuclear crisis with atomic power stations being taken offline and fossil fuel plants used to make up the difference.

The earthquake and tsunami that triggered the disaster also disrupted manufacturing supply chains across the country, while the eurozone debt crisis slowed the global economy and sent traders scurrying into the safety of the yen, driving up its value and reducing Japanese exporters' income.

In total, crude oil imports jumped 21.3 percent by value, LNG was up 37.5 percent and petroleum products up 39.5 percent, while automobile exports fell 10.6 percent, with electronic parts down 14.2 percent.

The deficit with China, Japan's biggest trading partner, was more than five times that of 2010. The country recorded a trade surplus with the European Union, but it was down 31.3 percent on 2010.

Japan posted a deficit of 10.8 trillion yen with the Middle East alone, which provides almost all its oil, and a deficit of 3.1 trillion yen with Oceania, the source of large quantities of raw materials, especially Australia.

Japan's last calendar-year trade deficit came in 1980, when the nation was reeling from the second oil crisis and imports exceeded exports by 2.6 trillion yen -- still a record.

"It was the worst year for Japan's trade since 1980. It was caused by slumps in exports and rises in imports due to the higher need for alternative energy," said Satoshi Osanai, economist at Daiwa Institute of Research.

"Trade went in bad directions both ways," he said, noting that export falls had been worse in the 2008 financial turmoil that followed the Lehman Brothers collapse, when Japan recorded a trade deficit over the fiscal year.

Japanese demand for oil and other fuel is unlikely to decrease in the near future and Osanai pointed out that resource prices remained high, "inflicting a big negative impact".

The strong yen, which hit repeated post-World War II highs against the dollar in 2011 and remains close to its peak, contributes to lowering import costs but its negative effect on exports is larger.

UBS economist Daiju Aoki warned Japan was on course to record repeated trade deficits.

"As the nation ages its production capability declines, hurting export power," he said.

"Japan will come to run trade deficits over the long term. It may return to figures in the black in 2012 or 2013 but the trend of suffering deficits could start."

 

 

channelnewsasia.com